The Prescott NF Burned Area Emergency Response (BAER) Team will be conducting an in-depth assessment of emergency post-fire risks that could potentially impact human safety, impact property, and damage sensitive resource values of the Horse Fire. A BAER assessment will be initiated when the fire is fully contained. Post fire risks are normally affiliated with flashfloods and unstable soils. The footprint of the fire is located within steep and rugged terrain that is susceptible to post fire soil instability and higher run-off. However, the fire perimeter is in a remote area and initial surveys suggests minimal post-fire values are at risk.
An initial assessment of the current perimeter suggests a probability of lower post-fire risks associated with winter storm events. Winter precipitation patterns normally do not pose flash flood risks. Flash floods that are normally affiliated with monsoons would most likely not occur. However, there is still a risk of flooding with sustained winter precipitation which would be predictable and affiliated with normal flows that would gradually increase.
Horse Fire BAER Assessment information is available at: https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/7244/ or https://www.fs.usda.gov/prescott/